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Odds & Probabilities

What are the odds of being dealt a Royal Flush?

0.000154%

Royal Flush 1 in 649,740
Straight Flush 1 in 72,193.33
4 of a Kind 1 in 4,165
Full House 1 in 694.16
Flush 1 in 508.80
Straight 1 in 254.80
3 of a Kind 1 in 47.32
Two Pairs 1 in 21.03
One Pair 1 in 2.36
No Pair 1 in 1.99

 

Poker Information

Poker is a family of card games that share betting rules and usually (but not always) hand rankings. Poker games differ in how the cards are dealt, how hands may be formed, whether the high or low hand wins the pot in a showdown (in some games, the pot is split between the high and low hands), limits on bets and how many rounds of betting are allowed. In most modern poker games, the first round of betting begins with some form of forced bet. The action then proceeds to the left. Each player in turn must either match the maximum previous bet or fold, losing the amount bet so far and all further interest in the hand. A player who matches a bet may also raise, increasing the bet. The betting round ends when all players have either matched the last bet or folded. If all but one player fold on any round, the remaining player collects the pot and may choose to show or conceal their hand. If more than one player remains in contention after the final betting round, the hands are shown and the winning hand takes the pot.[1]

With the exception of initial forced bets, money is only placed into the pot voluntarily by a player who, at least in theory, rationally believes the bet has positive expected value. Thus, while the outcome of any particular hand is determined mostly by chance, the long-run expectations of the players are determined by their actions chosen based on probability and psychology.

General rules
The following rules apply to the ranking of all poker hands.

A hand always consists of five cards. In games where more than five cards are available to each player, the best five-card combination of those cards must be played. Any cards not included in the hand do not affect its ranking. For example, if player A holds 3? Q? and player B holds 3? A?, and five cards 4? 5? 6? 7? 10? are available to both players, the players hold equally ranking 3-4-5-6-7 straights despite the fact that the player B's ace ranks higher than the player A's queen.

Individual cards are ranked A (highest), K, Q, J, 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2 (lowest). Aces can appear low when part of an A-2-3-4-5 straight or straight flush. In the poker variants ace-to-five and ace-to-six lowball, the ace only plays low, and only plays high in deuce-to-seven lowball. Individual card ranks are used to rank hands that are in the same rank category.

The suits of the cards are used to determine whether a hand forms a flush or straight flush. In most variants, suits do not have an associated value, and play no part in determining the ranking of a hand. Sometimes a ranking called high card by suit is used for randomly selecting a player to deal. Low card by suit usually determines the bring-in better in stud games.

Hands are ranked first by category, then by individual card ranks; even the lowest hand that qualifies in a certain category defeats all hands in all lower categories. For example, 2? 2? 3? 3? 4?, the lowest-valued two pair hand, defeats all hands with just one pair or high card (such as A? A? K? Q? J?). Only between two hands in the same category are card ranks used to break ties.

A poker hand has the same hand ranking regardless of the order in which it is arranged by the deal, by a description, or by a picture. So a hand arranged as 10? 8? 10? 6? 10? is ranked the same as 10? 10? 10? 8? 6? even though in the first hand the three of a kind is not immediately obvious.

If there are multiple hands of the same rank at the showdown, the pot is divided equally between the winning players.

There are 311 875 200 ways (5-permutations) of being dealt five cards from a 52 card deck,[Note 1] but since the order of cards does not matter, there are 5! = 120 5-permutations giving any one hand, so there are only possible distinct hands.


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